Duration
Duration
A measure of a bond's price sensitivity to interest rate changes, expressed in years. Macaulay duration measures the weighted average time to receive all cash flows, while modified duration measures the approximate percentage price change for a 1% change in yield. Duration increases with longer maturity and decreases with higher coupon rates. For zero-coupon bonds, duration equals maturity; for coupon-paying bonds, duration is always shorter than maturity.
A 10-year Treasury bond with a 6% coupon has a modified duration of approximately 7.4 years. If interest rates rise 1%, the bond's price will fall approximately 7.4%. A zero-coupon bond maturing in 10 years has a duration of exactly 10 years, making it more price-sensitive than the coupon bond with the same maturity.
Students often confuse duration with maturity (they are different except for zero-coupon bonds), forget that higher coupon rates shorten duration (inverse relationship), or miss that modified duration directly estimates percentage price changes while Macaulay duration measures time.
How This Is Tested
- Comparing bonds to identify which has the longest duration based on coupon rates and maturities
- Understanding that modified duration estimates percentage price change for a 1% yield change
- Recognizing that zero-coupon bonds have duration equal to maturity
- Identifying that higher coupon rates result in shorter duration (inverse relationship)
- Using duration to assess which bond has greater interest rate risk and price volatility
Example Exam Questions
Test your understanding with these practice questions. Select an answer to see the explanation.
Olivia, a bond portfolio manager, expects interest rates to rise significantly over the next 12 months. She currently holds four corporate bonds with similar credit ratings and wants to minimize potential price declines. Which bond should she favor in her portfolio to reduce interest rate risk?
D is correct. When expecting rising interest rates, investors should shorten portfolio duration to minimize price declines. The 5-year bond with 8% coupon has the shortest duration (4.3 years), meaning it will experience the smallest percentage price decline if rates rise. For every 1% increase in yields, this bond would lose approximately 4.3% of its value.
A (duration 16.8 years) would suffer the largest price decline, losing approximately 16.8% for each 1% rate increase. B (duration 10.2 years) has intermediate risk, losing approximately 10.2% per 1% rate increase. C (zero-coupon with 10-year duration) would lose approximately 10% per 1% rate increase and lacks the cash flow cushion from coupon payments that helps reduce volatility.
The Series 65 exam tests your ability to use duration for portfolio management decisions in different interest rate environments. Understanding that shorter duration reduces price volatility when rates rise is critical for managing client portfolios and explaining interest rate risk. Questions often present scenarios requiring you to select bonds based on rate expectations.
Which statement about duration is accurate?
C is correct. For coupon-paying bonds, duration is always shorter than maturity because interim coupon payments reduce the weighted average time to receive cash flows. Only zero-coupon bonds have duration equal to maturity since all cash flow occurs at maturity.
A is incorrect because duration equals maturity only for zero-coupon bonds, not all bonds. B is incorrect; higher coupon rates result in SHORTER duration (inverse relationship) because more cash is returned earlier through coupon payments. D is incorrect; duration measures price sensitivity to interest rate changes (risk measure), not total return.
The Series 65 exam frequently tests the fundamental characteristics of duration and the distinction between duration and maturity. Understanding that coupon payments shorten duration is essential for comparing bonds and assessing interest rate risk. This concept appears in questions comparing multiple bonds.
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A is correct. Calculate using the formula: Price Change โ -Modified Duration ร Yield Change. Price Change โ -8.5 ร 0.75% = -6.375%. The negative sign indicates a price decline, which is expected when yields rise (inverse relationship).
B incorrectly shows a price increase; when yields rise, bond prices fall, not rise. C (11.33%) incorrectly divides duration by yield change (8.5 รท 0.75) instead of multiplying. D (8.50%) uses only the duration without multiplying by the 0.75% yield change. Remember: modified duration directly estimates the percentage price change, with the negative sign indicating the inverse relationship between price and yield.
Duration-based price change calculations appear frequently on the Series 65 exam. Understanding how to estimate bond price changes using modified duration is essential for risk assessment and portfolio management. The exam tests whether you can apply the formula correctly and remember the inverse relationship between yields and prices.
All of the following statements about bond duration are accurate EXCEPT
C is correct (the EXCEPT answer). Duration does NOT increase as bond yields increase; in fact, duration DECREASES as yields rise. Higher yields mean faster payback through the yield component, which shortens the effective maturity (duration). This is an inverse relationship.
A is accurate: longer maturity bonds generally have longer duration because cash flows are spread further into the future. B is accurate: higher coupon rates return more cash earlier, reducing the weighted average time to receive cash flows and shortening duration. D is accurate: zero-coupon bonds have no interim cash flows, so all return comes at maturity, making duration exactly equal to maturity.
The Series 65 exam tests your understanding of all three key duration relationships: maturity (direct), coupon rate (inverse), and yield (inverse). Many students remember that maturity and duration move together but forget that both higher coupons and higher yields shorten duration. Understanding these relationships is critical for bond selection and portfolio construction.
An investor is comparing four bonds with the same 15-year maturity and similar credit quality. Which of the following statements about these bonds are accurate?
1. A zero-coupon bond will have duration equal to 15 years
2. A bond with a 10% coupon will have longer duration than a bond with a 5% coupon
3. The bond with the highest duration will experience the greatest percentage price change if interest rates change
4. All four bonds will have the same duration since they have the same maturity
B is correct. Statements 1 and 3 are accurate.
Statement 1 is TRUE: Zero-coupon bonds have duration equal to maturity because all cash flow occurs at maturity. A 15-year zero-coupon bond has a duration of exactly 15 years.
Statement 2 is FALSE: A bond with a 10% coupon will have SHORTER duration than a bond with a 5% coupon, not longer. Higher coupon rates mean more cash is returned earlier, reducing the weighted average time to receive cash flows. This is an inverse relationship.
Statement 3 is TRUE: Duration directly measures price sensitivity to interest rate changes. The bond with highest duration will experience the greatest percentage price change (modified duration estimates this change).
Statement 4 is FALSE: Bonds with the same maturity have different durations based on their coupon rates. Only zero-coupon bonds have duration equal to maturity; coupon-paying bonds always have duration shorter than maturity, with the amount depending on the coupon rate.
The Series 65 exam tests detailed understanding of duration relationships across multiple bonds. You must know that (1) zero-coupon bonds have duration equal to maturity, (2) higher coupons mean shorter duration (inverse), and (3) duration directly measures price sensitivity. Questions often require evaluating multiple statements simultaneously to test comprehensive knowledge.
๐ก Memory Aid
Think of duration as how long your money is tied up on average. Higher coupons = Cash back faster = shorter duration. Zero-coupon bonds = All cash at the end = duration equals maturity. Modified duration = Price swing percentage: 8 years duration = approximately 8% price change for each 1% rate move. Remember: "Duration Down when Coupons go UP" (inverse relationship).
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