Interest Rate Risk

Investment Vehicles High Relevance

The risk that a bond's market value will decline when interest rates rise, reflecting the inverse relationship between bond prices and yields. Interest rate risk is measured by duration, which estimates the percentage price change for each 1% change in interest rates. Bonds with longer maturities and lower coupon rates have greater interest rate risk because their cash flows are weighted further into the future.

Example

When the Federal Reserve raises interest rates from 3% to 4%, a 20-year Treasury bond with a 3% coupon and duration of 14.5 years would lose approximately 14.5% of its value. Meanwhile, a 5-year Treasury with 5% coupon and duration of 4.5 years would only decline about 4.5%. The longer-term bond faces greater interest rate risk due to its extended maturity and lower coupon rate relative to new market rates.

Common Confusion

Students often confuse the inverse relationship (thinking higher rates mean higher bond values), mix up duration with maturity (they measure different things), or fail to recognize that long-term bonds with low coupons face the most interest rate risk. Zero-coupon bonds have the highest interest rate risk for a given maturity because they have no coupon payments to cushion price volatility.

How This Is Tested

  • Identifying which bonds have the greatest interest rate risk based on maturity and coupon characteristics
  • Understanding the inverse relationship between interest rates and bond prices
  • Using duration to compare interest rate risk across different bonds
  • Recognizing that rising rate environments create the most risk for long-term, low-coupon bonds
  • Applying interest rate risk concepts to client portfolio recommendations during different rate cycles

Regulatory Limits

Description Limit Notes
Inverse price-yield relationship Interest rates ↑ → Bond prices ↓ Fundamental bond pricing principle tested frequently
Duration as primary risk measure % price change per 1% rate change Modified duration estimates percentage price sensitivity
Maturity impact on risk Longer maturity = Greater interest rate risk All else equal, longer bonds more sensitive to rate changes
Coupon impact on risk Lower coupon = Greater interest rate risk Inverse relationship: lower coupons mean higher price sensitivity

Example Exam Questions

Test your understanding with these practice questions. Select an answer to see the explanation.

Question 1

Marcus, a 45-year-old investor, is concerned about rising interest rates over the next two years and wants to minimize potential losses in his bond portfolio. He currently holds $200,000 in investment-grade bonds and seeks your advice. Which strategy would best address his concern about interest rate risk?

Question 2

What is the primary characteristic of interest rate risk?

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Question 3

An investor is comparing four bonds to determine which has the HIGHEST interest rate risk. All bonds have similar credit ratings. Which bond would you identify as having the greatest sensitivity to interest rate changes?

Question 4

All of the following statements about interest rate risk are accurate EXCEPT

Question 5

An investment adviser is explaining interest rate risk to a client who owns a 15-year corporate bond with a 4% coupon and modified duration of 11 years. Interest rates have just risen by 0.50%. Which of the following statements are accurate?

1. The bond's price will decline by approximately 5.5%
2. If the client holds the bond to maturity, they will receive the full par value
3. Selling the bond now would likely result in a capital loss
4. The bond's interest rate risk increases as it approaches maturity

💡 Memory Aid

Think of the "Interest Rate Seesaw": When rates go UP, bond prices go DOWN (inverse relationship). Long-term bonds with low coupons are like sitting far from the center: they swing the most when rates change. Duration = Your price swing: 10-year duration means roughly 10% price change for each 1% rate move. Remember: "Low and Long = Most Wrong" when rates rise (low coupon + long maturity = highest interest rate risk).

Related Concepts

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Where This Appears on the Exam

This term is tested in the following Series 65 exam topics:

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