Normal Markets
Chapters in this video
- 0:00 The everyday default: deferred above nearby
- 1:01 Four interchangeable labels and exam vocabulary traps
- 2:46 Carrying charges and the cost of carry
- 4:09 The arbitrage ceiling: why premium cannot exceed full carry
- 5:23 Full carry versus partial carry and spread mechanics
- 6:52 Rapid-fire exam recap
What this video covers
- Why distant delivery months trade higher than nearby months in a normal market, and why cash or spot sits at the bottom of the curve
- The four interchangeable labels (normal, carrying-charge, premium, and contango) and how the exam uses vocabulary switching to test whether you truly know they are synonyms
- Why normal is strictly a technical label for curve shape, not a description of calm or stable underlying prices
- The three core carrying charges: storage, insurance, and financing (interest), and how each pushes deferred months higher as the delivery date extends
- What full carry means: the spread between two delivery months equals the complete cost of holding the physical commodity from the earlier month to the later month
- Why the premium of a distant month cannot exceed full carry due to arbitrage, and why full carry is a ceiling on the spread rather than a floor
- How partial carry fits into the structure, and why spreads can sit anywhere from a small premium up to but never above full carry
Read the full lesson, free
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