Effects of Economic or Political Instability

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What this video covers

  • Why every instability headline is really just a shock to one side of the market, and how to identify whether supply or demand takes the hit
  • How supply disruptions from war, embargoes, or sanctions reduce availability and push commodity prices higher
  • Why energy and grains are especially vulnerable to supply shocks due to concentrated global production regions
  • Why a flight to safety into gold and hard assets is a demand-driven price move, not a supply story, and how to avoid the reduced-mining trap answer
  • How a demand collapse from recession or lost export markets pushes prices down even when supply sits completely intact
  • The inverse relationship between the United States dollar (USD) and dollar-denominated commodity prices: weaker USD raises prices, stronger USD lowers them
  • Why currency-driven price moves are independent of physical supply and demand for the commodity itself

Read the full lesson, free

This video's complete written lesson is free to read in the CertFuel app, no signup wall. The complete Series 3 course also includes adaptive practice questions and spaced-repetition flashcards, free through the end of 2026.

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