Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
Chapters in this video
- 0:00 Why an immortal investor only cares about dividends
- 1:36 Present value of all future dividends
- 2:17 Gordon Growth Model and its three variables
- 3:16 The D0 versus D1 exam trap
- 4:24 Calculating a $42 intrinsic value step by step
- 6:23 Why required return must exceed growth rate
- 7:29 Where DDM fits and where it fails
- 8:56 Rapid-fire exam recap
What this video covers
- Why the dividend discount model (DDM) treats a stock's intrinsic value as the present value of all future dividends, and why the time value of money is baked into the logic
- The Gordon Growth Model formula: next year's dividend (D1) divided by the required return (r) minus the constant growth rate (g)
- The single biggest exam trap: D1 is NEXT year's expected dividend, so if the question hands you the current dividend (D0), you must multiply by (1 plus g) before plugging in
- Working a full calculation step by step to an intrinsic value, then comparing it to the market price to decide whether the stock is undervalued or overvalued
- Why the formula requires r to be strictly greater than g, and what happens to the math when growth equals or exceeds the required return
- Which companies the DDM actually fits (mature dividend payers like utilities, consumer staples, blue chips) and which ones it cannot value at all (non-dividend-paying growth companies, erratic dividend histories, startups)
- Why the DDM ignores capital gains entirely, and how that limitation shows up in exam scenarios
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