Discounted Cash Flow
Chapters in this video
- 0:00 What DCF is and the time value of money
- 0:38 Projecting free cash flow from three assumptions
- 1:58 Terminal value as the forecast-period catch-all
- 2:23 Terminal value and the Gordon Growth Model trap
- 3:38 DCF versus DDM: scope and cash flow distinction
- 4:47 How discount rate changes move intrinsic value
- 5:55 Enterprise value to equity value per share
- 6:14 Valuation methods showdown: technical, fundamental, DDM, DCF
- 6:43 Rapid-fire exam recap
What this video covers
- Why DCF values any investment as the present value of all expected future cash flows, and how free cash flow projections depend on revenue growth, profit margins, and capital expenditures
- What terminal value represents: the present value of all cash flows beyond the explicit forecast period, typically 60 to 80 percent of total DCF valuation
- How the Gordon Growth Model calculates terminal value as a growing perpetuity, and why small changes in the long-term growth rate (g) or discount rate (r) create outsized swings in terminal value
- The exact DCF-vs-DDM distinction: DDM is a narrow type of DCF that uses only dividends, while DCF uses free cash flow and applies to any company including non-dividend payers
- Why a higher discount rate (required rate of return) always lowers intrinsic value, and the inverse relationship the exam tests repeatedly
- How to interpret intrinsic value versus market price: undervalued (buy) when intrinsic value exceeds price, overvalued (sell or avoid) when it is below
- The enterprise value to equity value bridge: subtract net debt, then divide by shares outstanding to reach intrinsic value per share
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